Digitalization, extortion and a lucrative vaccine: Kaspersky makes its threat predictions for 2021

The beginning of the year is always a nice time to look at the main developments and incidents in the cybersecurity industry over the past year. To review the impact these events had on organizations and individuals and predict what they could mean for the overall evolution of the threat landscape, Kaspersky shares its vision on what we could face in terms of cyber threats in such areas as healthcare, education, and ICS attacks in 2021.

Digitalization of education will widen the threat landscape

Lockdown measures driven by the ongoing epidemiologic situation have changed education systems around the world. Digitalization, which is the main driver of these changes, will maintain momentum in 2021. The integration of social media, video services, and games in the educational process has proved to be effective, and more of such content is set to be created in 2021. While the number of online students rises, so make related privacy threats.

Both students and educators need to pay more attention to their personal data security. If the correct security settings are not in place, students’ and teachers’ personal information can be compromised ­– or individuals could even fall victim to attacks propagated via educational platforms. Additionally, distanced learning also brings new risks for cyberbullying.

Evolution of ICS oriented attacks

Each year actors develop more and more advanced targeted threats. Some closely examined industrial businesses’ features and gained access to vast amounts of information about their technological networks. This trend is expected to continue in 2021. 

In particular, ransomware attacks against ICS systems will become more targeted and, as a result, even more, sophisticated using APT tactics. This is a significant threat since industrial networks have become more vulnerable due to the limits imposed on onsite work and onsite personnel, coupled with an increase in the number of people accessing networks remotely.

Hacking the vaccine: a new opportunity to exploit COVID-19

Using medical and healthcare topics as bait will continue next year and remain relevant until the end of the pandemic. The main reason for attackers’ growing interest in medical research was developing a vaccine against COVID-19. In 2021, the efforts to steal coronavirus research data will continue. As long as the global healthcare community continues to fight the disease, any company that claims significant success in developing a vaccine will become a potential victim of targeted attacks. 

However, the focus on digital security in hospitals offers hope that in 2021 there will be more collaboration between cybersecurity experts, organizations, and healthcare systems. Experience has shown that big crises, like the pandemic, push organizations to pay more attention to protecting their infrastructure.

For anyone interested in educating themselves about major cybersecurity industry trends, they recommend they visit Kaspersky Security Bulletin 2019 to read this year’s predictions and Kaspersky Security Bulletin 2020 to learn more about the predictions for 2021.